← Explore · Market 1808546
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
15.3% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 15.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, down 5.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 15.5¢ / 15.3¢
Spread0.5¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h-5.15pt
Change 7d+7.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$14,766
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,491 / $7,181
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score56.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 151d 21h.
Time to resolve151d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%