← Explore · Market 1808547
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+15.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,106
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,057 / $7,495
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 151d 21h.
Time to resolve151d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%