← Explore · Market 1808547
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
34.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 35.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability35.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 34.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,704
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$67,670 / $42,136
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.43
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 105d 22h.
Time to resolve105d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%