← Explore · Market 1808548
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
46.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 47.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 47.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$23,326
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,611 / $14,629
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score59.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.23
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 151d 21h.
Time to resolve151d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%