← Explore · Market 1808548

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

The market prices this at 40.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability40.0%

Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+1.50pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 20% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,823

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$322,788 / $7,108

Imbalance20% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.27

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.22pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 105d 22h.

Time to resolve105d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%