← Explore · Market 1831351
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
55.0% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 56.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+21.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,340
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$882 / $1,026
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.11
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d2.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%