← Explore · Market 1831671
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
50.0% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 51.0%, up 31.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.0%)
Change 24h+31.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,840
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,058 / $317
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 81 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.76
RSI (14, hourly)81.1
Realized vol 7d3.08pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%