← Explore · Market 1831672
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
16.0% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 17.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (12.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-30.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,109
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$297 / $358
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.06pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%