← Explore · Market 1831760
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
29.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability29.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-7.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$329 / $487
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.66pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%