← Explore · Market 1831769
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
34.0% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 36.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 47.0%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability47.0%
Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 34.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h-7.00pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$501
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$169 / $21
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.71
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d3.52pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%