← Explore · Market 1861361
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
95.3% implied · bid 95.0¢ · ask 95.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.1%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability95.1%
Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 95.5¢ / 95.3¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+0.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 58% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,243 / $13,106
Imbalance58% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score57.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.84
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 540d 2h.
Time to resolve540d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%