← Explore · Market 1861361
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
95.7% implied · bid 95.2¢ · ask 96.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.0%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid95.2¢ / 96.2¢ / 95.7¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d+2.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 65/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,171 / $31,651
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score64.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.00
RSI (14, hourly)54.5
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 494d 3h.
Time to resolve494d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%