← Explore · Market 1861376
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
96.8% implied · bid 96.3¢ · ask 97.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.6%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability96.6%
Bid / ask / mid96.3¢ / 97.2¢ / 96.8¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,807 / $6,777
Imbalance59% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.76
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 540d 2h.
Time to resolve540d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%