← Explore · Market 1922862
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
2.3% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.4%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability2.4%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.4¢ / 2.3¢
Spread0.2¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d+0.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$40
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$94 / $197
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.75
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%