← Explore · Market 1922867
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?
2.4% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 2.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 2.7¢ / 2.4¢
Spread0.6¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h+0.55pt
Change 7d+0.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$478
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$156 / $255
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 29 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)28.6
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%