← Explore · Market 1922869
Will Truist fail by end of 2026?
2.5% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.7¢ / 2.5¢
Spread0.5¢ (20.4%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$69 / $74
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.70
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 174d 21h.
Time to resolve174d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%