← Explore · Market 1931104
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
62.2% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 62.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 63.0%, up 14.7pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 62.4¢ / 62.2¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h+14.65pt
Change 7d+18.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 67/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$214,858
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,496 / $27,355
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)12
Liquidity score67.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 87 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.90
RSI (14, hourly)86.8
Realized vol 7d2.03pt
Change 1h+11.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 113d 2h.
Time to resolve113d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%