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← Explore · Market 1931108

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

12.7% implied · bid 12.5¢ · ask 12.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.6%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability12.6%
Bid / ask / mid12.5¢ / 12.9¢ / 12.7¢
Spread0.4¢ (3.1%)
Change 24h-5.55pt
Change 7d-14.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$53,424
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$801 / $514
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score48.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 34 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35
RSI (14, hourly)34.1
Realized vol 7d1.44pt
Change 1h-3.80pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 113d 2h.

Time to resolve113d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth