← Explore · Market 1931114
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
17.2% implied · bid 16.8¢ · ask 17.6¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.6%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability17.6%
Bid / ask / mid16.8¢ / 17.6¢ / 17.2¢
Spread0.8¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+4.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$96,922
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,249 / $656
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score49.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.86
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d1.45pt
Change 1h-2.95pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 113d 2h.
Time to resolve113d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%