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← Explore · Market 1931121

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

6.3% implied · bid 5.7¢ · ask 7.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.4%, down 4.2pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability6.4%
Bid / ask / mid5.7¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.3¢
Spread1.3¢ (20.5%)
Change 24h-4.20pt
Change 7d-0.90pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$45,677
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$617 / $489
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.88
RSI (14, hourly)11.9
Realized vol 7d1.28pt
Change 1h-2.95pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 113d 2h.

Time to resolve113d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth