← Explore · Market 1993462

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

99.7% implied · bid 99.4¢ · ask 99.9¢

The market prices this at 99.7%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability99.7%

Bid / ask / mid99.4¢ / 99.9¢ / 99.7¢

Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 67/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 99% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$5,527

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$38,032 / $312

Imbalance99% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score66.7 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.29

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.03pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%