← Explore · Market 2009763

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

1.4% implied · bid 0.9¢ · ask 1.8¢

The market prices this at 1.8%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability1.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.9¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.4¢

Spread0.9¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h-0.25pt

Change 7d-0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$56

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $20

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.23

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.67pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 5d 21h.

Time to resolve5d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%