← Explore · Market 2009764

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

25.2% implied · bid 23.5¢ · ask 26.9¢

The market prices this at 26.5%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 3.4¢ spread.

Implied probability26.5%

Bid / ask / mid23.5¢ / 26.9¢ / 25.2¢

Spread3.4¢ (13.5%)

Change 24h+0.25pt

Change 7d-9.95pt

Thin (score 33/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$274

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27 / $456

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score33.2 / 100

RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.23

RSI (14, hourly)54.5

Realized vol 7d1.50pt

Change 1h+0.25pt

Resolves in 5d 21h.

Time to resolve5d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%