← Explore · Market 2009765
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
72.5% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 73.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 73.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability73.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 73.0¢ / 72.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+9.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$343
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,275 / $1,793
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.69
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.18pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 21h.
Time to resolve5d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%