← Explore · Market 2009766
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
1.8% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 2.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.0%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.
Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 2.5¢ / 1.8¢
Spread1.5¢ (85.7%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d+0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$138
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5 / $51
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.06
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.67pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 21h.
Time to resolve5d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%