← Explore · Market 2046122
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0.5% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability1.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.5¢ (90.9%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d-0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,710
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28 / $186
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.82
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%