← Explore · Market 2046122
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2.1% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 2.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 2.1¢ / 2.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (4.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$84 / $19
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.72
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 71d 21h.
Time to resolve71d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%