← Explore · Market 2046123
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85.0% implied · bid 84.0¢ · ask 86.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 85.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability85.0%
Bid / ask / mid84.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,276
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,536 / $6,133
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.13
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.26pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 22h.
Time to resolve25d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%