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Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

5.5% implied · bid 4.1¢ · ask 7.0¢

The market prices this at 7.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 2.9¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%

Bid / ask / mid4.1¢ / 7.0¢ / 5.5¢

Spread2.9¢ (52.3%)

Change 24h-5.45pt

Change 7d-5.45pt

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,104

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$203 / $44

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score35.6 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.85

RSI (14, hourly)47.1

Realized vol 7d0.64pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 71d 21h.

Time to resolve71d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%