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Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

9.9% implied · bid 9.3¢ · ask 10.5¢

The market prices this at 9.2%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability9.2%

Bid / ask / mid9.3¢ / 10.5¢ / 9.9¢

Spread1.2¢ (12.1%)

Change 24h+0.75pt

Change 7d+0.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$499

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$568 / $356

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.5 / 100

RSI 71 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46

RSI (14, hourly)71.4

Realized vol 7d0.25pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 25d 22h.

Time to resolve25d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%