← Explore · Market 2046126
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
23.5% implied · bid 23.0¢ · ask 24.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 23.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability23.0%
Bid / ask / mid23.0¢ / 24.0¢ / 23.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$400
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$893 / $1,276
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.74
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 71d 21h.
Time to resolve71d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%