← Explore · Market 2046126

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

6.4% implied · bid 5.8¢ · ask 7.0¢

The market prices this at 6.8%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability6.8%

Bid / ask / mid5.8¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.4¢

Spread1.2¢ (18.8%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-0.90pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$406

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,010 / $626

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score44.8 / 100

RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.77

RSI (14, hourly)16.7

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 25d 22h.

Time to resolve25d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%