← Explore · Market 2055070

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

86.0% implied · bid 81.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

The market prices this at 81.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability81.0%

Bid / ask / mid81.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 86.0¢

Spread10.0¢ (11.6%)

Change 24h+1.50pt

Change 7d+28.50pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22 / $47

Imbalance27% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.23

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d2.84pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 286d 21h.

Time to resolve286d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%