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← Explore · Market 2055343

Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?

97.8% implied · bid 97.2¢ · ask 98.4¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.4%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability98.4%
Bid / ask / mid97.2¢ / 98.4¢ / 97.8¢
Spread1.2¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+3.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 38% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$52
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,166 / $8,624
Imbalance38% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.90
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 293d 21h.

Time to resolve293d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth