← Explore · Market 2055344
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
87.0% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 86.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 88% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,559
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$214 / $265
Imbalance88% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.27
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.70pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 293d 21h.
Time to resolve293d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%