← Explore · Market 2055345
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
84.0% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 85.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 82.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability82.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 84.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 87% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$437
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$505 / $491
Imbalance87% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-4.05
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 293d 21h.
Time to resolve293d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%