← Explore · Market 2055346
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?
86.5% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 87.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 87.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability87.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 82% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$83
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$272 / $501
Imbalance82% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.61
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 293d 21h.
Time to resolve293d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%