← Explore · Market 2061469

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

3.1% implied · bid 2.4¢ · ask 3.8¢

The market prices this at 4.5%, down 2.7pt over 24h, on a 1.4¢ spread.

Implied probability4.5%

Bid / ask / mid2.4¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.1¢

Spread1.4¢ (45.2%)

Change 24h-2.65pt

Change 7d-76.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,244

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$145 / $219

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.2 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.40

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d3.88pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 286d 21h.

Time to resolve286d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%