← Explore · Market 2061470
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
0.5% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.4%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.5¢ (90.9%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d-0.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$31 / $73
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.33
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.13pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 286d 21h.
Time to resolve286d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%