← Explore · Market 2062214
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
8.5% implied · bid 7.2¢ · ask 9.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.5%, down 2.8pt over 24h, on a 2.6¢ spread.
Implied probability9.5%
Bid / ask / mid7.2¢ / 9.8¢ / 8.5¢
Spread2.6¢ (30.6%)
Change 24h-2.80pt
Change 7d-17.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$83
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $29
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.79
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d2.12pt
Change 1h-1.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%