← Explore · Market 2062215
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
33.0% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 33.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (12.1%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d-25.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$87
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$76 / $106
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 31 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.47
RSI (14, hourly)31.3
Realized vol 7d0.88pt
Change 1h-3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%