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← Explore · Market 2062216

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

47.0% implied · bid 45.1¢ · ask 49.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.9¢ spread.

Implied probability53.2%
Bid / ask / mid45.1¢ / 49.0¢ / 47.0¢
Spread3.9¢ (8.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+35.35pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$425
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$144 / $99
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.24
RSI (14, hourly)59.3
Realized vol 7d2.68pt
Change 1h+0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 12d 21h.

Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth