← Explore · Market 2062217
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
13.0% implied · bid 9.1¢ · ask 16.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.1%, up 6.3pt over 24h, on a 7.8¢ spread.
Implied probability3.1%
Bid / ask / mid9.1¢ / 16.9¢ / 13.0¢
Spread7.8¢ (60.0%)
Change 24h+6.25pt
Change 7d+7.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 11/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$221
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $30
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score11.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d3.30pt
Change 1h+3.45pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 21h.
Time to resolve12d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%