← Explore · Market 2063128
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
97.7% implied · bid 97.3¢ · ask 98.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.
Implied probability98.1%
Bid / ask / mid97.3¢ / 98.1¢ / 97.7¢
Spread0.8¢ (0.8%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d+0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 64% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$814
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$833 / $8,122
Imbalance64% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.89
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%