← Explore · Market 2063128
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
97.7% implied · bid 97.4¢ · ask 97.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.5%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability97.5%
Bid / ask / mid97.4¢ / 97.9¢ / 97.7¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d+1.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$231
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,814 / $13,319
Imbalance62% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score58.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.08
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%