← Explore · Market 2063129

Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.5% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 0.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability0.9%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.5¢ (90.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$653

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $45

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score47.5 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.72

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.02pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%