← Explore · Market 2063130

Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.4% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.7¢ (155.6%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$632

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $77

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 30.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-30.34

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%