← Explore · Market 2063130

Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.6% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.8¢

The market prices this at 0.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%

Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.6¢

Spread0.4¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$90

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $182

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.68

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%