← Explore · Market 2063132

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.4¢

The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.3%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.4¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.2¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$200,890

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $186

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)21

Liquidity score49.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.45

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%