← Explore · Market 2063133
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.2%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,916,400
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $50
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)250
Liquidity score49.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.03
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%