← Explore · Market 2063134

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.6% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.5%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.6¢

Spread0.2¢ (33.3%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$90

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$67 / $101

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.05

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.01pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%