← Explore · Market 2063135
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
0.7% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 1.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.
Implied probability1.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.7¢
Spread0.7¢ (107.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$88
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22 / $97
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.49
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%