← Explore · Market 2068882
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
26.0% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 27.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 17.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (7.7%)
Change 24h-17.50pt
Change 7d-35.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,577
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$198 / $341
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 3 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.01
RSI (14, hourly)2.7
Realized vol 7d0.88pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 13d 21h.
Time to resolve13d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%