← Explore · Market 2068883
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
68.0% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 69.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, up 15.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h+15.00pt
Change 7d+30.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,626
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$483 / $667
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 82 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.02
RSI (14, hourly)81.8
Realized vol 7d0.99pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 13d 21h.
Time to resolve13d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%