← Explore · Market 2068884

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

3.6% implied · bid 3.5¢ · ask 3.8¢

The market prices this at 3.8%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.5¢ / 3.8¢ / 3.6¢

Spread0.3¢ (8.2%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+2.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,454

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$255 / $104

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score48.7 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.92

RSI (14, hourly)59.1

Realized vol 7d0.15pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 13d 21h.

Time to resolve13d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%