← Explore · Market 2069635

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

37.4% implied · bid 37.3¢ · ask 37.4¢

The market prices this at 37.4%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability37.4%

Bid / ask / mid37.3¢ / 37.4¢ / 37.4¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h-0.90pt

Change 7d-7.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$190,597

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,582 / $14,783

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)10

Liquidity score63.7 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.09

RSI (14, hourly)39.6

Realized vol 7d2.58pt

Change 1h+0.90pt

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%