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← Explore · Market 2069638

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

42.5% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 43.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 43.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 42.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$220,994
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,071 / $24,364
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score64.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d1.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 22h.

Time to resolve9d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth