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← Explore · Market 2069660

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.6¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.0%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d-2.45pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$365,017
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$152 / $427
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)12
Liquidity score49.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25
RSI (14, hourly)39.3
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h-0.35pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 9d 21h.

Time to resolve9d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth